Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Race & Pace Analysis

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

When the 2005 Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championships take place on October 29, Saturday, champion horses from all over North America and as far as Europe and Japan will be pitted against one another. Belmont Park in Elmont, New York, which has the world's biggest dirt race course of any thoroughbred track, will play host to eight major races on a single championship day card: Breeders' Cup Classic, Distaff, Filly & Mare Turf, Juvenile, Juvenile Fillies, Mile, Sprint, Turf. Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies race and pace analysis point to strong contenders being Acceleration, Adieu, Bully Bones, Effectual, Fifth Avenue, Folklore, Joint Effort, Slick Road, Swept Gold, Truart, and Wild Fit.

The Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies is usually dominated by race contenders who have one or two wins in wire-to-wire fashion. But this is not always the case, just as only few of 2004's competing horses had won wire-to-wire in any of their starts prior to the race. Horses showing early speed will, of course, influence the pace. If their only shot at winning is to be on the lead, they will attempt precisely that. Expect the pace to be honest but not blistering. Someone coming from mid-pack could win in the last 70 yards. Late-running race contenders should definitely be looked at. A late running style could put a horse near the front relatively quicly, from which position she can be close enough to strike late.

Horses come into form quite unpredictably as two-year-olds, which provides the Juvenile Fillies without many differentiators. Some of the few are the size of the field and lifetime earnings, which had clued many in on classy competitors like Sweet Catomine. She was the morning line favorite at 5:2, and went on to win the 2004 Juvenile Fillies. This is not to say join the bandwagon of a heavy favorite without studying the near-favorites. Another good point of differentiation is the trouble line. That is, competing horses who have found trouble yet still prevailed to hit the board.

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